Les cours du cacao auront à nouveau souffert cette semaine des incertitudes entourant la récolte en Afrique de l’Ouest. Ils auront ainsi creusé leurs pertes, tombant vendredi à Londres et New York respectivement à 2.186 livres et 2.971 dollars, ce qui correspond aux plus bas observés en près d’un mois.
Si les prix avaient pu rebondir quelque peu en début de semaine, ils sont repassés par la suite dans le rouge à partir de mercredi, en l’absence d’informations récentes qui auraient pu générer une tendance haussière.
Certes, des pertes de production sont signalées tant en Côte d’Ivoire qu’au Ghana (les deux premiers producteurs de fèves brunes au monde), mais la situation sur place apparaît désormais plus stable, grâce notamment à une augmentation des précipitations.
Désormais, les investisseurs s’interrogent à nouveau sur le fait que les prévisions d’une récolte moindre pour la saison 2016/2017 puissent être vérifiées à terme.
Au final vendredi, sur le Liffe de Londres, la tonne de cacao pour livraison en juillet valait 2.192 livres sterling à la cloture, contre 2.239 livres sterling en fin de semaine dernière.
Parallèlement, sur l’ICE Futures US de New York, la tonne pour livraison en juillet valait 2.987 dollars, contre 3.106 dollars vendredi dernier.
Sources : AFP, ICE, Liffe
Elisabeth Studer – 15 mai 2016 – www.leblogfinance.com
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