Impact à prévoir sur les cours des céréales.
Le département américain de l’Agriculture (USDA) a relevé vendredi ses estimations concernant les volumes de production mondiale de blé pour la campagne 2011/12.
Le chiffre s’élève désormais à 689 millions de tonnes (Mt) contre 683,3 Mt prévu en novembre.
Le stock final mondial est estimé dorénavant à 208,5 Mt contre 202,6 Mt prévu le mois dernier, les estimations établies fin 2010/11 tablant quant à elles sur un chiffre de 199,75 Mt.
Selon l’USDA, la révision à la hausse de la production mondiale fait suite à une hausse de la production en Australie (+2,3 Mt à 28,3 Mt), en Argentine (+1,5 Mt à 14,5 Mt), au Canada (+1 Mt à 25,3 Mt) et en Chine (+0,9 Mt à 117,9 Mt).
S’agissant des Etats-Unis, les chiffres de production demeurent inchangés même si les exportations reculent de 1,4 Mt à 25,17 Mt. Ces dernières sont fortement concurrencées par les blés de l’Hémisphère Sud et de la Mer Noire.
En ce qui concerne l’Europe, les chiffres de production (137,5 Mt), exportations (17 Mt) et stock final (12,68 Mt) n’ont fait l’objet d’aucune révision.
Sources : ats, AFP
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